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The macro researchcorpus.

Every Fed speech, FOMC statement, macro release, and prediction market in one place. Unified, searchable, and traceable to the primary source.

WatoMacro Research
Command menu⌘K
VIX vs Fed Rate Cut Probability (June FOMC)
VIXCut Prob6mo
Jan 14, 2026
VIX28.4
Cut Prob74.2%
CBOEPolymarket
Oct 2025Jan 2026Apr 2026
FED FUNDS RATE
4.25–4.50%
FRED FOMC Mar 2026
JUNE CUT CONSENSUS
70.2% +1.8%
Kalshi Polymarket CME
NOVA DC VACANCY
2.1%
CBRE Q1 2026
Recent
Loudoun County Extends Data Center Moratorium Through Q3
Loudoun BOS Minutes · Apr 9 · Policy
Risk
Blackstone Closes $4.2B for Virginia Data Center Campus
Reuters · Apr 12 · Investment Grade
BBB+
Powell: "Neutral rate likely higher than pre-pandemic"
FOMC Presser Transcript · Mar 19 · Fed
Cited 3×
VA Data Center Thesis
what's the financing outlook for a data center buildout in Northern Virginia
Fetched FRED, CME FedWatch, Polymarket, Kalshi
Searched Loudoun BOS minutes, CBRE

Rate environment is shifting in your favor. Markets price a 70% chance of a June cut, which would lower your cost of capital by ~40bps. But the Loudoun moratorium is the key risk: extended through Q3, blocking new permits in your target corridor.

search recent news on rates and DC development, then subscribe me to moratorium updates
Searched Reuters, FOMC transcripts
Created 3 signals

Found 3 relevant articles. Subscribed you to VA moratorium updates, rate shifts above 5%, and FOMC speaker mentions of neutral rate.

Ask a follow-up…
Wato-pro

If the Fed said it, a central bank released it, or a venue priced it — we have it.

FRED
Macro · daily
FOMC
Minutes · statements · pressers
Kalshi
Historical and realtime data
Polymarket
Historical and realtime data
CME FedWatch
Futures-implied
ECB · BOE · BOJ
Global central banks
Reuters
Headlines · priority feed
CBRE · JLL
Sector research
+ more
By request
Built for macro
Bloomberg has the data. AlphaSense has the decks. Nobody built the macro-native version.

A single corpus across central-bank transcripts, prediction markets, and every macro release — with citations you can trust and an API that returns the source.

Ask the corpus like you'd ask a macro analyst.

Natural-language queries across 12,000+ Fed transcripts, macro releases, and every major prediction venue. Purpose-built indices, not generic RAG.

  • Cited down to the paragraph and timestamp
  • Speaker-level search across all Fed governors
  • Reconciled numbers across CME · Kalshi · Polymarket
Request access See example
Corpus search
Command menu⌘K
CPI May — consensus & divergence tracker
38 sources
FOMC · Powell on core services ex-housing
cited 3×
Kalshi · CPI > 3.4% · mid 22¢
shifting
CME FedWatch · rate-cut odds after print
updated 2m ago
Citations12,418 primary sources indexed
The platform
Everything below the research layer.

Corpus, reconciliation, streaming, alerts, and thesis tracking: one semantic layer from primary source to portfolio decision.

Wato vs Existing AI

LLMs are frozen. Wato is live.

Typical general-purpose LLMs answer from a training snapshot. Wato answers from a normalized corpus of every central bank, release, and market — monitored continuously, backtestable to the archive.
 Typical general-purpose LLMsWato
Source2023 training snapshotNormalized primary-source corpus
UpdatesYou ask; it paraphrases.Proactive — pings you when a thesis moves
HistoryNo backtest, no memoryEvery query replayable across the archive
Provenance

Every claim traces to the primary source.

No hallucinated numbers, no vibe-based summaries. Ever.
FOMC presser · Mar 19, 2026
"…neutral rate is likely higher than pre-pandemic estimates would suggest…"
CME FedWatch
Updated 2 min ago · +1.8% week-over-week
verified against source audio & transcript
Signals

One number, every venue.

Kalshi, Polymarket, CME, and Limitless reconciled into a single probability surface.
Reconciled · June cut+1.6 pts · 24h
70.2%
VENUEJUNE24H
Kalshi72.0%+2.1
Polymarket68.0%+1.8
CME FedWatch70.5%+0.9
Limitless71.0%−0.5
Charts

See what moves with what.

Overlay VIX, probability spreads, and Fed speaker sentiment in seconds.
VIX vs CUT PROB · 6MO−0.78 correlation
VIXCut ProbMar 19 FOMC
API

Stream the corpus into your stack.

REST, Python SDK, and webhooks. Back-testable. Paper and live.
from wato import Client

c = Client()
out = c.query(
  "june cut probability",
  venues=["kalshi", "pm", "cme"],
  cite=True,
)

out.value        # 70.2%
out.citations    # 3 sources
Theses

Your thinking, tracked over time.

Save a thesis once. Wato watches every primary source and flags what reinforces, complicates, or invalidates it, so you never wake up to a view you no longer hold.
Thesis · rate-sensitive data-center plays
Saved Feb 14
"June cut + Loudoun permit resolution implies 30bps cap-rate compression across Nova."
Reinforces
CME FedWatch at 70.2% for June
today · 9:04 AM
Complicates
Loudoun moratorium extended to Q3
Apr 9 · BOS minutes
Neutral
Powell on neutral rate, unchanged tone
Mar 19 · FOMC presser
Alerts

Stop searching. Get pinged.

Configure signals on any query. Wato notifies you the moment a Fed speaker echoes your view, a probability shifts, or a release lands, so the feed comes to you.
When June cut probability moves > 5%
KalshiPolymarketCME+ daily digest 8am
Shift detected on Polymarket
June cut prob 69.0% 73.4% in last 40 min. Three large bids from a new wallet.
+ new signal on any query, thesis, or source
Platform · API

Plug the corpus into your stack.

One endpoint for primary sources, market probabilities, and the semantic layer that ties them together. Stream it into your models, your dashboards, or your terminal.

FOMCKalshiPolymarketECBFREDFedWatchReuters
POST api.watolabs.com/v1/ask
{
  "query": "what changed in the Fed's view of the labor market this quarter?"            ,
  "range": "2026-01-01..2026-04-17",
  "sources": ["fomc", "speeches", "beige_book"],
  "return": ["answer", "citations", "timeline"]
}
"The committee shifted from 'strong' to 'gradually cooling'across seven mentions."
FOMC Statement
Mar 19, 2026 · p.2
Powell Press Conf
Mar 19, 2026 · 14:32
Beige Book
Apr 9, 2026 · District 2
Limited early access

Come read the corpus with us.

We're onboarding a small cohort of funds, desks, and independent researchers first.